Friday, September 30, 2011

Week 4 Picks

OK. I won't miss another week. Or at least I'll do my best.

Pick of the week

Atlanta -4.5 over Seattle - You have to like the Falcons here over Seattle by less than a touchdown. They're coming off a tough loss against the Bucs in the final minutes of the game. The Seahawks are riding a high and are going to have a rude wake up call when Matt Ryan and the rest of Arthur Blanks' crew comes running into Seattle.

SC Picks of the Week
Washington -2 @ St Louis
Saints -7 @ Jacksonville
49ers +9 vs. Eagles
Giants -1 @ Arizona
Indy +10.5 @ TB
Dolphins +7 @ SD
Ravens -4 vs. NYJ

Picks of the Week
Minnesota -2 @ KC
Panthers +7 @ Chicago
Texans -4 vs. Pittsburgh
Raiders +5 vs. Pats
Bills -3 @ Cincy
Lions +1 @ Dallas

Week 2 Record... Surprisingly I was able to get over .500 for the week with the help of my regular pick pool after struggling with my more confident picks. I'll take it.
Pick of the Week - 0-1
SC Picks - 2-3
Picks - 6-3-1
Overall - 8-7-1

Thursday, September 15, 2011

NFL Picks - Week 2 - 2011

It's about time I start writing again..
Without delving too much into the detail of why I've had 2 posts in the past 2 years (we'll go into that in a later post), I'm going to try and make picks against-the-spread every week this year and track my record against all these other 'Professionals' who charge hundreds of dollars a week. Let's see how we do... (please ignore the fact that I completely missed Week 1).

How it's going to work: I'm going to make a pick for every game, every week (from here on out). I'll then put my pick into three categories, the titles of which should make them self-explanatory.
1) Pick of the Week
2) Semi-Confident Picks of the Week (SC Picks)
3) I had to pick someone Picks of the Week (Picks)
Note: My picks will be based off of Bodog at whatever point in the week I make the picks (shown by the date of my post, obviously). I'll also include some commentary for my pick of the week and sporatically for my semi-confident picks.

That being said, here are my Week 2 picks;

Pick of the Week
Washington -4 vs. Arizona

Grossman vs. Kolb -- the matchup of two quarterbacks who are starting to get passed around the NFL like Grandma's Fruitcake. I think they both remind me of younger Kerry Collins'... I will however say that I think the Skins are a little underrated going into this game... They hadn't beaten the Giants in 5 years and they are at Home, again. Granted the Giants were beat up, I would take that beat-up Giants team over the Cards, any day. That being said, they Skins were able to capitalize on the Giants miscues and I highly doubt that a below average Cards team will come into DC against a confident Skins team and be able to win. I'm predicting a 27-13 win by the Skins.

Semi-Confident Picks

Kansas City +8 @ Detroit - Detroit and 8 point favorite? Is this a mistake?
Baltimore -6 @ Tennessee - Titans suck
Pittsburgh -14.5 vs. Seattle - I'd say Seattle sucks, which they do... but add Pitt being nasty (and at home) - they should win by 20. Biggest NFL line I've seen in a while, but it's justified.
Tampa Bay +3 @ Minnesota - Minnesota struggles ATS as a favorite. Plus the Bucs are underrated.
Indianpolis +3 vs. Cleveland - Again, seems like a mistake, right? The Colts as underdogs at Home, against the Browns. Seems odd. I'm not jumping on the bandwagon and I'm going with the historical #'s here.


Carolina +10 vs. Green Bay
Dallas -3 @ San Francisco
Miami +3 vs. Houston
New England -7 vs. San Diego
Cincinnati +3.5 @ Denver
NY Jets -9 vs. Jacksonville
Buffalo -3.5 @ Oakland
Atlanta +3 vs. Philadelphia
NY Giants -4.5 @ St. Louis
Chicago +7 @ New Orleans

So happy football season is back.